See United Kingdom who predict the general trend of China's political and economic _ zhaihua

United Kingdom Department devoted to economic and business forecasting and tracking of publishers Business MonitorInternational has recently launched The China Business ForecastReport (China business forecast report). Although predicting the "Commerce" topic, and indeed covers the political, economic and diplomatic spheres of prediction, analysis of China to the trend in 2010. This report is divided into four chapters, the first chapter is PoliticalOutlook ("political prospects"), chapter II is EconomicOutlook ("economic perspectives"), chapter III is BusinessEnvironment ("business environment"), chapter IV is EconomicSectors Key ("key economic sector"). "Political prospects" chapter include the "internal" and "diplomacy", "region" in three parts. In the "internal" section, the report refers to Guangdong Province appear as demonstrations of the bloodshed, raises awareness about domestic social protests spread fears. The report believes that currently ruling party's status is not threatened, but the Government must address and solve social problems behind the demonstrations. In the "diplomatic" section, the report's analysis focused on cross-strait relations, it is clear that in the eyes of foreigners, the Taiwan issue is not a question of the Interior, but diplomatic problems, maybe the effect from the international perspective on both sides of the issue. The report finds that Taiwan's Chen Shui-bian of political parties in Parliament after the election defeat, has taken a more drastic "anti-China" stance. But it's a tough stance does not work, instead of reducing the inside and outside the island of the "independence". "Region" section of East China, North China, Northeast, South and West for the analysis. On the East, the report considers the threat of rising Shanghai to Hong Kong's position. In the East, the report considers that if the Tianjin and Beijing to cooperation development, will never be able to catch up with other cities in the southern part of economic development. Report that the reform process has been slow in the Northeast, and reform objectives focus on immediate issues, relying on huge investment to accelerate development, does not solve the fundamental problems in the region. South of the Pearl River Delta region at present is China's most affluent area, but further development facing energy and labour shortages. "Economic perspectives" chapter notes that the GDP statistics increases 17%, making investment in GDP, not as big as the original people think, so there is no Chinese economy overheating. Since the Government is willing to give up control of the RMB exchange rate (this control is the last 10 years China's economy is an important factor for development), the appreciation of the RMB again this year there was no hope. In the "business environment" chapter for the SWOT analysis, meaning Strength (strong), Weakness (weaknesses), Opportunities (opportunity), Threats (threats). Note here the SWOT mainly from investors ' point of view, but not necessarily from China's interests. "Strengths" mainly China WTO commitment has made good progress, ample supplies of low-cost labour. "Weaknesses" refers to the two issues, one is weak intellectual property protection, the second is the West generally believes that China still is not a market economy, vulnerable to anti-dumping proceedings. As for the "opportunity" and the "threat" of textile-related, on the one hand, the abolition of quotas on textile exports to China have created opportunities for China's international market share is expected to reach 50%; on the other hand start WTO may inhibit the protection mechanism of Chinese textile and other products for export. You think that such an analysis worth? Well, 15% discount, the price is $ 595. It seems that the business report itself is a commercial operation.